Friday, December 12, 2014

Albert Einstein on Race and The Negro Question (1946)

by Albert Einstein

I am writing as one who has lived among you in America only a little more than ten years. And I am writing seriously and warningly. Many readers may ask: 

"What right has he to speak about things which concern us alone, and which no newcomer should touch?"

I do not think such a standpoint is justified. One who has grown up in an environment takes much for granted. On the other hand, one who has come to this country as a mature person may have a keen eye for everything peculiar and characteristic. I believe he should speak out freely on what he sees and feels, for by so doing he may perhaps prove himself useful.

What soon makes the new arrival devoted to this country is the democratic trait among the people. I am not thinking here so much of the democratic political constitution of this country, however highly it must be praised. I am thinking of the relationship between individual people and of the attitude they maintain toward one another.
There is, however, a somber point in the social outlook of Americans. Their sense of equality and human dignity is mainly limited to men of white skins. Even among these there are prejudices of which I as a Jew am clearly conscious; but they are unimportant in comparison with the attitude of the "Whites" toward their fellow-citizens of darker complexion, particularly toward Negroes. The more I feel an American, the more this situation pains me. I can escape the feeling of complicity in it only by speaking out.
It would be foolish to despise tradition. But with our growing self-consciousness and increasing intelligence we must begin to control tradition and assume a critical attitude toward it, if human relations are ever to change for the better. We must try to recognize what in our accepted tradition is damaging to our fate and dignity—and shape our lives accordingly.

I believe that whoever tries to think things through honestly will soon recognize how unworthy and even fatal is the traditional bias against Negroes.

What, however, can the man of good will do to combat this deeply rooted prejudice? He must have the courage to set an example by word and deed, and must watch lest his children become influenced by this racial bias.

I do not believe there is a way in which this deeply entrenched evil can be quickly healed. But until this goal is reached there is no greater satisfaction for a just and well-meaning person than the knowledge that he has devoted his best energies to the service of the good cause.

Snow Across My Desk - Picture

-------- Original Message --------

Sunday, March 30, 2014

Sunshine Across Israel


Israelis lip-dub Matisyahu’s hit “Sunshine” on the background of some of Israel’s most beautiful sites.

Monday, March 10, 2014

007 James Bond Women - How They Aged

007 James Bond Girls Now and then

1. Honey Ryder, "Dr. No" (1962)

  Honey Ryder,    

Played by Ursula Andress.

See 36 more at: "007 James Bond Girls Now and then"  

Monday, February 24, 2014

Jas Jain Interest Rate Prediction

Current Rates - Scan is from
Current Treasury Rates From

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: "The #1 Problem For Businesses Is Weak Consumer Demand"
Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2014 04:22:18 -0800
From: Jas Jain


"The #1 Problem For Businesses Is Weak Consumer Demand"

As per the finance chiefs of world's largest corporations. Dah. Henry Ford recognized this as the #1 problem for capitalists more than a hundred years ago. Debt financed consumption demand is basically borrowing from the future demand.



The weak consumer demand is the primary driver of falling inflation and it would continue to fall until it is safely in the negative territory in all the advanced economies and even China would have outright deflation because of the over capacity.



xxxxx   The turning point in inflation/deflation is coming within the next three years, but most likely in 15 months. The US Treasuries are going to make new highs in price and new lows in yield.
Jas

US Treasury Rate Quotes

Timer Digest 2013 Bond Timer of the Year


Long Term Results that Speak for Themselves
Since 9/30/98 inception, "Kirk's Newsletter Explore Portfolio" is UP 522%
vs. the DJIA UP only 106%, S&P500 UP only 139% and NASDAQ UP only 147%

That is 9.6% Compound Annual Return vs. 4.6% for the S&P500
(All through 12/31/13)
(More Info, Testimonials & Portfolio Returns)






Sunday, February 23, 2014

Real Early Spring



-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Real Early Spring
Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2014 07:56:07 -0800
From: Jas Jain

Real Early Spring

We didn't have much of the winter, thus far, especially during Dec-Feb, and the result is very early spring as you can see the blooms coming out on one of my sakura trees. This is 2-3 weeks earlier than other normal years.



We are in an extreme draught region of California, which is in a severe draught this year.
Jas

(FYI: It is spelled "drought" Jas.... )

Tuesday, February 4, 2014

Jain Recession Model: 90% Chance For the US Recession


Feb 3 SPY 4% Off Record High While ECRI's WLI Near 193 Week High

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: 90% Chance For the US Recession to Begin During 2014Q2-2015Q1
Date: Sun, 2 Feb 2014 08:23:54 -0800
From: Jas Jain


90% Chance For the US Recession to Begin During 2014Q2-2015Q1



Q: Have Bernanke, Krugman and Yellen predicted any recession, in their career, before it happened?

A. N-O-NO.



Q: Have Bernanke, Krugman and Yellen predicted recoveries before they happened?

A: YES, always.



Q: Do they predict that recovery would continue for years, at least the next three years, with a growth above 2%?

A: All the time.



Q: Does Wall Street ever predict that an earnings decline of 35-90% could happen within the next two years?

A: Never.



Q: Does it happen?

A: Yes, with a fair amount or regularity (pl. see the attached graph).



Any honest person would call such behavior purposely misleading and fraudulent, no? They remain oblivious to the business cycle despite its permanence. Economists and Wall Street commit "periodic," or cyclical fraud, very predictably.



Q: Who have the best record at predicting recessions?

A: Financial markets, most notably, commodities, the Scam Market and the US Treasury markets, e.g., the yield-curve inversion.



I have developed a methodology of characterizing the business cycle using two financial market indicators, S&P500 and US Treasury bond futures. Based on the attached graph I am predicting that a US recession is very likely, close to 90% chance, to begin during 2014Q2-2015Q1 with most likely date being September 2014. This should coincide with earnings declines during 2015-16. I also expect the coming recession to be much more severe than the last one and S&P 500 to make a new low.



Enjoy the Super Bowl! The next one would most likely be played during a recession. Go Broncos!!

Jas

NFL Super Bowl XLVIII
Sunday, February 2, 3:30 PM
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Final Score
  • Seattle Seahawks 43
  • Denver Broncos 8

Key Jas Jain Articles

Jan 31 Watch the Red Lines: Dow, NASDAQ & S&P500 Resistance and Support
Jan 23 Gold and GLD Resistance and Support Levels Three Key Charts to watch
Jan 18 Jim Cramer's "Action Alerts Plus" Charitable Trust Portfolio Performance 
Jan 15 
Median Single-Family Home Prices Adjusted for Inflation




Friday, January 31, 2014

January 2014 Reading List

Happy New Year!
 Long Term Results that Speak for Themselves

Since 9/30/98 inception, "Kirk's Newsletter Explore Portfolio" is UP 522%
vs. the DJIA UP only 106%, S&P500 UP only 139% and NASDAQ UP only 147%
That is 9.6% Compound Annual Return vs. 4.6% for the S&P500

(All through 12/31/13)






Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Sun Rise & Clouds


Jan 18 SPY 1% Off Record High While ECRI's WLI Is At A 191-Week High

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Sun Rise & Clouds
Date: Tue, 7 Jan 2014 15:03:16 -0800
From: Jas Jain


Sun Rise & Clouds

These clouds have no bark or bite. We are high and dry!

Jas



Jan 04 Real Price of S&P Composite with Dividends Re-invested 1870-2013

Jan 02 S&P500 Resistance and Support Levels - Testing First Level Support




Suggested Reading


=>Article: How to Get the Best CD Rates
=>Article: Beware of Annuities
=>Info: Best Mortgage Loan Rates