Presidential Party by Year and President from 1953 to 2016

 Medium Single-Family Home Prices in Ounces of Gold
Rough double in 3 yrs!

-------- Forwarded Message --------

Subject:	Reactionary Party Politics In America
Date:	Mon, 13 Apr 2015 09:00:50 -0700
From:	Jas Jain

Reactionary Party Politics In America

In 1952 elections the Republican Party took control of the White House from the Democrat Party. Since then, in the 64-year period, 1953-2016, there have been exactly eight party changes for the presidency and six of them were after 8 years, i.e., with the exception of a 16-year period, 1976-1992, every eight years the party in control of the White House changed.

PRESIDENTS	PARTY	YEARS	PERIOD
Eisenhower, Dwight David	Republican	8	1953-1960
Kennedy, John Fitzgerald & Lyndon Johnson	Democratic	8	1961-1968
Nixon, Richard Milhous & Gerald Ford	Republican	8	1969-1976
Carter, James Earl Jr.	Democratic	4	1977-1980
Reagan, Ronald Wilson + GHW Bush	Republican	12	1981-1992
Clinton, William Jefferson	Democratic	8	1993-2000
Bush, George Walker	Republican	8	2001-2008
Obama, Barack Hussein	Democratic	8	2009-2016

The results are strictly based on reaction and the short-term orientation of the voters and the elites, including the politicians, of course. Some of the cyclicality is tied to the economic cycles, i.e., recessions and some to purely dissatisfaction with the system and the party in power is blamed. If the recession coincides with the election year then a change in the party is more or less guaranteed. My forecast is for a recession to begin way before the 2016 elections and that bodes well for the Republican nominee, whoever it turns out to be. It would have very little to do with the policies promised by the two parties. Since both parties lie about the promises the current economic conditions sway the voters in the middle of the political spectrum.

As the Clinton strategist saisdin 1991: It is the economy, stupid!

Jas

Hey Jas, how long have you been predicting a recession for the next year?

And whatever happened to your 1998 prediction for Los Altos home prices falling 67% to $250,000?  You seemed to have missed by over a factor of 10!

•  Los Altos Home Prices Grew 13% in 2014 & up 282% since 1998

and

• US Dollar Index Surges to 12-Year High 
• Gold and GLD Resistance and Support Levels Three Key Charts to watch