Wednesday, May 18, 2011

Bull market top indicators

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: ***Tops and Drops are the Hallmark of Any Scam Market--RE: Bull market top indicators.
Date: Wed, 18 May 2011 07:22:30 -0700
From: Jas Jain
To: jas_jain

Subject: Bull market top indicators.
Date: Wed, 18 May 2011 06:45:47 -0700

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/leading-indicators-of-stock-market-top-2011-05-18?siteid=rss&rss=1

 The bottom line, according to the Ned Davis Research study: "We may be entering the early stages of a market-topping process."

But there is evidence that the "early stages" of the cyclical topping process started as early as Jan.-May '10, as in '99 and '07.

 

Tops and Drops are the Hallmark of Any Scam Market

All the gains and profits in a Scam Market are sucked off by the Crooks (Corporate Crooks, a la John Chambers & Co., Wall Street Crooks, a la Goldchain Silverknife, and many middle-men who serve the Crooks, including Scam Market prognosticators selling various services). What remains for the long-term suckers are losses, or at best no gains. This process would continue until the suckers are totally sucked dry in the middle of the depression. Until then we would have many tops and many drops. It is fantastic for those who can play the volatility. As it turns out there are mathematically guaranteed methods to make lot of money if the Scam Market, as measured by S&P 500, trades between 600-1600, for example, over a long period, e.g., 1996-2015. (It could be proven as a theorem). More tops means more drops means more money to be made. Bigger the tops, bigger the drops, and bigger money that can be made. As a matter of fact, I posted a strategy named Six-Pack, on the Longwaves Forum, in July 1998 that would make in excess of 1000% if the Scam market ends in 2015, or sooner, where it began in 1996. The best period for the strategy was 06/04/07-03/09/09—10X gains in the put portfolio. There are also priods with losses.

Jas


Kirk Here: A caller this weekend noted that in Bob's last Marketimer he made a change in the Income Portfolio going to the Double Line Total Return Fund. The caller questioned the reason for that particular fund while noting it had a higher expense ratio. He also questioned the duration.

The new fund is the "DoubleLine Total Return Bond Fund" with a ticker DLTNX for investor shares and DBLTX for institutional shares with $100,000 or more to qualify for the lower expense ratio. We wrote a full report for this call with our warnings about the fund at 

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