Niall Feguson: Empires on the Edge of Chaos . . . and The Course of Empire . . .

-------- Original Message --------

Subject:	FWC: RE: Niall Feguson: Empires on the Edge of Chaos . . . and The Course of Empire . . .
Date:	Sun, 28 Feb 2010 13:47:14 -0800
From:	Jas Jain

 From: XXXX
Subject: Niall Feguson: Empires on the Edge of Chaos . . . and The Course of Empire . . .
Date: Sun, 28 Feb 2010 09:21:41 -0800

Complexity and Collapse: Empires on the Edge of Chaos By Niall Ferguson:

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article24874.htm

http://web.sbu.edu/theology/bychkov/cole.html

 

Thanks. Some of us read and discussed The Collapse of Complex Societies By Joseph A. Tainter on the old Longwaves group in late 1990s. I still stand by my own theory of The Longer Wave, with the current Longwave marking the end of the Modern Western Civilization in terms of a very long period of decline marked by chaos and disintegration of various institutions including democracy. No, all you "long-term bulls" on America, a la Warren Buffett, America is not going to come back up strong, as it had done in the past, from this decline. Buffett would die an unhappy man having disappointed his shareholders. Blind faith has consequences.

 

China would come out of this period of chaos and disintegration as the clear top dog. Please read the histories of China, Europe and India for the past two thousand years. There is no contest! Misery awaits those who pray to false gods (democracy being one)!

Jas